• Nigeria’s Reform Scorecard: 12 Numbers That Tell The Renewed Hope Story

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    As Nigeria’s official campaign season begins, per INEC’s timetable, President Tinubu’s government presents a compelling narrative.

    In telling the Renewed Hope Story today with numbers, the Honourable Minister of Finance, Prof. Taiwo Oyedele, presented the Reform Scorecard, providing a detailed account of the resources mobilized under President Tinubu’s economic reforms since 2023. The Government finally told the story- where the money came from, where it went to, and how it has benefited the citizenry.
    Here are the 12 key numbers.

    1/12 — ₦15.8 TRILLION
    Subsidy savings mobilized
    Between June 2023 and December 2025, subsidy savings mobilized ₦15.8 trillion for the Federation. This represents resources freed up following the removal of the fuel subsidy and made available within the Federation’s fiscal system.

    2/12 — ₦5.4 TRILLION
    Federal Government’s share
    Of the ₦15.8 trillion in subsidy savings, ₦5.4 trillion accrued to the Federal Government. The remaining ₦10.4 trillion was shared with states and local governments.

    3/12 — ₦10.4 TRILLION
    States and local governments
    States and local governments received ₦10.4 trillion from the subsidy savings. This is important because the fiscal effect of subsidy removal was not confined to the Federal Government; a substantial portion flowed through Federation revenue sharing to subnational governments.

    4/12 — ₦3.1 TRILLION
    Incremental independent revenue
    The Federal Government generated ₦3.1 trillion in incremental independent revenue, principally through remittances from government-owned entities. This formed part of the additional resources available to the Federal Government during the period.

    5/12 — ₦11.9 TRILLION
    Incremental borrowing
    The Federal Government recorded ₦11.9 trillion in incremental borrowing.
    The Minister’s point is that borrowing would have been substantially higher, and economically destabilizing, without the fiscal space created by the reforms.

    6/12 — ₦20.4 TRILLION
    Total incremental Federal resources
    Taken together, subsidy savings accruing to the Federal Government, incremental independent revenue and incremental borrowing brought total Federal Government incremental resources to ₦20.4 trillion.

    7/12 — ₦30.64 TRILLION
    Incremental expenditure
    Those additional resources partly funded ₦30.64 trillion in incremental expenses. The Government therefore makes clear that the resources generated did not sit idle; they were deployed alongside the existing revenue base to meet additional government expenditure.

    8/12 — ₦9.39 TRILLION
    Wages, minimum wage and allowances
    The largest incremental expenditure line was ₦9.39 trillion for wage adjustments; minimum wage increases and allowances for public servants. The Minister specifically notes that this amount exceeded the Federal Government’s entire ₦5.4 trillion share of subsidy savings.

    11/12 — ₦9.37 TRILLION
    External debt service
    Another ₦9.37 trillion went to external debt service made necessary by exchange-rate depreciation. Together, wages and external debt service accounted for the two largest incremental expenditure lines.

    12/12 — ₦6.5 TRILLION
    Strategic infrastructure
    The third-largest incremental expenditure line was ₦6.5 trillion for strategic infrastructure.
    This was part of the ₦30.64 trillion in incremental expenses recorded over the period.

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